Barbados Meteorological Services Urges Vigilance for 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season with Record Predictions

Deputy Director of the Barbados Meteorological Services (BMS), Brian Murray is urging Barbadians to be ever vigilant and prepared with the start of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

“The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), they have predicted between 17 to 25 named storms. Out of those, … eight to 13 will become hurricanes. Out of those … there is the possibility that between four to seven of those hurricanes will be major,” he told a news conference called by the Department of Emergency Management (DEM) at Queen’s Park, to provide an update on the plans for the 2024 Hurricane Season.

“Colorado State University has predicted 23 named storms. Out of those 23 named storms, 11 will become hurricanes and five will become major.”

This season’s list of names include Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debbie, Ernesto, Francine, Gordon, Helen, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Milton, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Raphael, Sarah, Tony, Barry, and William.

“These names are recycled every six years unless a storm causes significant damage or fatalities, warranting its retirement,” Murray explained.

And with the overly active predictions, the deputy director has pointed to La Niña, a climate pattern involving the cooling of surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, as a direct cause.

“La Niña generally results in higher rainfall across Barbados and increases the likelihood of hurricanes and tropical storms,” he noted. Additionally, the warming Atlantic Ocean, with sea surface temperatures exceeding 20 C, creates favourable conditions for storm formation.

Concerning temperature forecasts, Murray has warned of continued above-average heat.

“Last year’s temperatures were higher than usual, with maximums reaching 33 to 34 degrees Celsius in some areas. This trend is likely to persist, resulting in very hot and uncomfortable conditions, especially in urban areas,” he cautioned.

In preparation, he has advised households to stock up on non-perishable goods, ensure adequate water supplies, and avoid overstocking refrigerators early in the season.

“Even without a direct hit, tropical waves can cause severe thunderstorms and damage,” he warned. Essential supplies like working flashlights, batteries, and first-aid kits should be ready, and there must be added emphasis placed on preparation and vigilance. “No two tropical systems are alike. Each has unique characteristics and can bring unexpected challenges. The best approach is to be prepared for any eventuality,” he advised.